Have a sinking feeling in your gut? It is possible that it is more than having to live with the effects of Trump.
Refocusing the China debate: American allies and the question of US-China “decoupling”
The common wisdom in Washington is that policymakers and experts have settled into a new consensus about China. Engagement is dead, long live strategic competition!
Lindsey Ford
David M. Rubenstein Fellow - Foreign Policy, Center for East Asia Policy Studies
But ongoing policy debates suggest this consensus may not be as well-formed as it first appears. Beyond the desire for a new approach toward Beijing, there is still relatively little agreement on where to go from here. How should U.S. policymakers turn a relatively vague concept of “competition” into a more coherent set of policies? What objectives and assumptions should drive U.S. strategy? And what role are U.S. allies and partners willing to play in this new approach?
Unfortunately, many of the past year’s China debates provided few answers to these questions. Instead, the U.S.-China narrative has often mired down in increasingly stark disagreements over history, ideology, grand strategy, and geoeconomics. The flaw of many of these debates is that they miss the center of gravity when it comes to managing China’s rise. “Competition” does not necessarily require a unified vision of the sources of Chinese conduct, but it does require a deeper consensus on how the United States will define its own role in the Indo-Pacific region and a firmer consensus with allies and partners about how to align our political and economic strategies.
To advance the China debate in 2020, the focus of the conversation needs to move away from Beijing. It needs to move back to the United States, its allies, and the complex policy decisions they face to build a more unified coalition. Here and in an accompanying piece, I explore how to refocus 2019’s key debates in a new direction for 2020.
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